🧩Diversification that Investors Underestimate: Why the Risk Curve Flattens After the 30th Stock
How Many Stocks Do You Really Need? Why the 40th Stock in Your Portfolio Barely Diversifies
You're sitting with your broker, your portfolio has 28 positions, and you feel a sense of accomplishment. You scroll through the list — Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Alphabet, Amazon, a few smaller tech names, an ETF on the S&P 500 "just in case," and two semiconductor companies because AI. Then comes the day when tech drops a few percent — and your "diversified" portfolio drops almost the same. That's when you realize that counting positions and diversifying are two different things.
Diversification Isn't About the Number of Lines in a Table
Many investors believe that the more stocks they have, the safer they are. The reality is different: diversification doesn't decrease linearly with the number of stocks; it drops steeply at first and then quickly exhausts.
Imagine it with a simple example. You have a portfolio worth 500,000 Kč:
- 1 stock = the entire portfolio stands or falls on one company. If it has an accounting scandal, you lose tens of percent overnight.
- 10 stocks evenly at 50,000 Kč each = one bankrupt company costs you roughly 10% of the portfolio. Unpleasant, but survivable.
- 30 stocks = one company is roughly 3% of the portfolio. The collapse of one stock almost gets lost in the noise.
Data: Where the Diversification Curve Breaks
The risk of an individual stock consists of two parts. Specific risk (the company disappoints with results, the CEO leaves, a lawsuit arrives) — this can be diversified. And systematic risk (the entire market falls, a recession comes, rates change) — you never diversify this, not even with a hundred stocks.
Classic studies on portfolio variance show roughly this: a single stock typically has significantly higher volatility than the entire market. As you add stocks:
- The first 10–15 stocks remove most of the diversifiable (specific) risk — you get roughly close to market volatility.
- Between 20 and 30 stocks, you're only adding minor improvements — each additional stock reduces the overall risk by only a fraction.
- Beyond 30–40 stocks, the gain in diversification is practically zero. Only systematic risk remains, which is common to all stocks.
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